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Step 5 of M314, note 3127 §6.3. Everything else in this milestone derives a number and trusts it; this compares the derived value against what the channel is actually serving and fails the lane if it went down. Too-low is the unrecoverable direction: every installed client reports "up to date" forever, and no later build fixes it until one climbs back above the bad number. #2183 and #2993 are both that symptom. ## Two hazards, two mechanisms A shallow clone is now tested DIRECTLY, in `version.sh`, via `--is-shallow-repository`. The empty-result guard only caught the case where nothing matched — and run 4796 showed the worse one, where a partial match returned a real six-days-stale answer. Asking the question outright costs no network and covers artifacts with nothing published to compare against. `guard-forward.sh` handles the rest: a squash or rebase merge rewriting the committer date, a rebuild of an older commit, and clock skew between runners. ## The comparison is per artifact, and the operator differs desktop derived >= published commit time, so equality is the ORDINARY no-change case and `<=` would fail every build that changed nothing android derived > published build time, so equality means two builds in one minute — and Android refuses to install an APK whose versionCode does not RISE The server is deliberately unguarded: nothing compares its version, `:latest` moves regardless, and rule 145 removed the version tags that would be the published list. A too-low value there is a wrong date in a footer, not a stranded client. It still gets the shallow-clone check. ## Proved to fire, not assumed Cloned the repo, checked out a commit eight back, ran the guard against the LIVE dev feed: at the tip derived 1.0.3502151, published 1.0.3502151 -> pass eight back derived 1.0.3501535, published 1.0.3502151 -> FAILS android tip derived 3502171, published 3502152 -> pass stable derived 1.0.3502151, published 0.2.0 -> pass That last row is worth keeping: stable still advertises the bare `0.2.0` from the old Cargo.toml scheme, so the transition orders upward on BOTH channels, not just the one being exercised. A channel with nothing published passes rather than failing — otherwise the first publish to a new channel could never happen. The guard runs BEFORE the build in all three lanes, so a bad derivation costs seconds rather than a five-minute compile and a publish to undo. `compare` is exposed as an explicit mode so the ordering is testable without a network and inspectable without a push — 16 cases including `1.0.9 < 1.0.10`, which a string compare gets exactly backwards. #3145 Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>