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bvandeusenandClaude Opus 5.5 177ea12c9b fix(anomalies): a burst within what a metric reaches in most hours opens nothing (#6727)
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#6727 "A metric that bursts now and then opens anomalies at hours whose usual
peak reads 0". usual_peak is the p90 of a slot's hourly max, so a metric that
bursts in under about 1 hour in 10 reads 0 there however often it bursts across
the day. #6723 "An anomaly opens on a burst of minutes inside the metric's usual
peak, so most rows aren't outside the norm" therefore still opened on those.

usual_anywhere is the median, across the hours of the day, of each hour's
highest peak. Height is now judged against the greater of it and the slot's
usual peak. Bursts at any hour lift the median; a job at a time of its own
raises a few hours and leaves it low, so the same level at another time of day
is still an anomaly, as System 182 rules. A held level still opens.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-10-30 19:45:16 -04:00
bvandeusenandClaude Opus 5.5 5569f9934e feat(anomalies): a metric out of its normal is an anomaly to review (#5740)
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#5740 "A metric that departs from its normal is recorded as an anomaly to
review, and is findable after it ends", milestone 513.

- Every minute each learned key's last 15 minutes is judged against its
  hour's normal: above the usual hold x1.25 and by the metric's floor opens
  an occurrence, which ends when the level comes back.
- metric_anomalies holds one row per item to review; a repeat while it
  still waits joins it as an occurrence (metric_anomaly_spans).
- An ended row nobody reviews within anomalies.review_days (14, Settings ->
  Thresholds) lapses; an ongoing one never does.
- Learning skips every hour an occurrence covers unless its anomaly was
  marked normal: no normal is learned without review.
- Alerts -> Anomalies lists those to review first, then the reviewed and
  lapsed under day dividers; marking is operator/admin and audited.
- The Overview widget and get_overview warn of open ones and count those
  to review; the host page shows its own; the weekly report lists the
  week's and the lapsed; MCP list_anomalies and review_anomaly.
- Reviewed and lapsed rows are pruned at data.retention_days, and kept
  in backups like alert history.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-10-14 13:41:57 -04:00
bvandeusenandClaude Opus 5.5 4c84bc8560 feat(norms): Steward learns each metric's normal per hour of day, then week (#5739)
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A metric registered with learn_normal() gets, for every resource reporting
it, a usual hold (the 90th percentile across past days of each hour's p95)
and a usual peak for each slot:
- an hour of the day once 5 days of history exist;
- an hour of the week once history reaches back 3 weeks, so weekly jobs are
  learned too.
Each slot takes in the hours either side, so a job that runs a little late
stays normal. One SQL statement relearns everything hourly into
metric_norms, from the rollup plus the raw window not rolled up yet;
norms_at() reads the slot a moment falls in. Nothing is registered yet:
Traefik (#5741) and hosts (#5742) opt in.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-10-14 12:48:44 -04:00