feat(norms): Steward learns each metric's normal per hour of day, then week (#5739)
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A metric registered with learn_normal() gets, for every resource reporting
it, a usual hold (the 90th percentile across past days of each hour's p95)
and a usual peak for each slot:
- an hour of the day once 5 days of history exist;
- an hour of the week once history reaches back 3 weeks, so weekly jobs are
  learned too.
Each slot takes in the hours either side, so a job that runs a little late
stays normal. One SQL statement relearns everything hourly into
metric_norms, from the rollup plus the raw window not rolled up yet;
norms_at() reads the slot a moment falls in. Nothing is registered yet:
Traefik (#5741) and hosts (#5742) opt in.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
2026-10-14 12:48:44 -04:00
co-authored by Claude Opus 5.5
parent cbbf186f17
commit 4c84bc8560
8 changed files with 385 additions and 1 deletions
+2
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@@ -30,6 +30,8 @@ KEPT: frozenset[str] = frozenset({
# Rows that are measurements, logs or in-flight work: left out.
EXCLUDED: frozenset[str] = frozenset({
"plugin_metrics", "plugin_metric_latest", "plugin_metrics_hourly",
# Learned from the metrics above, so relearned once they fill again.
"metric_norms",
"monitor_results",
"email_outbox", "email_outbox_events", "password_resets",
# Run history; its logs live on disk, not in the database.