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bvandeusenandClaude Opus 5 fd214f3a08
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feat: the matcher gets an identity route, so a name can link what time cannot (4392)
#4392 measured three compounding reasons the announcement matcher could not
fire for this creator. This is the first two.

**Vocabulary.** `discord` is not how these creators write once the audience
already knows where the server is. Across 20,558 Patreon bodies `discord`
appears in 486 and `the server` in 37 — but the distribution is the point, not
the totals: for artist 8, 21 of 42 posts say `discord`, 7 say `the server`,
and it is the RECENT ones that say the latter. A vocabulary list written from
old posts silently stops matching the posts that still need it.

**Two routes.** Circumstance and identity answer different questions.
Proximity and a declaration say two things happened near each other; a working
name the creator uses on these two posts and nowhere else says they are the
same piece. Averaging those makes the threshold uninterpretable and costs
both ways — adding identity as a fourth weight dilutes the others enough that
measured teaser/drop pairs an hour apart stop proposing, while capping
identity at a weight means the strongest evidence available can never carry a
pair alone. So identity may OVERRIDE, never dilute; below IDENTITY_FLOOR it is
recorded for the operator and moves nothing, which is the conservative
direction, since a wrong link asserts two different pieces are one.

The circumstantial bundle is now proximity/declared/marker at .45/.35/.20.
Rebalanced rather than extended: the existing guard still holds arithmetically
(no single weight reaches the threshold) and the existing pairs still score
where they did — a teaser and its drop an hour apart with an invite link go
from 0.815 to 0.781, both well over.

Measured against the live instance, artist 8: 17 candidate pairs, 14 carried
by a shared name, no false positives, and no drop claimed by two posts. The
operator's own example — `Anya -- 🍈🍈` and the drop 75 minutes before it —
links on the token `0-k`, which is what its two files are called on either
platform. Two pairs 21h apart that proximity scores 0.10 are reached, and two
more (`680lc`, `cnni18x`, four posts each) are the stated cost of the floor.

Both rare-token signals are artist-scoped and loaded once per artist per
sweep, not per candidate pair.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01LVjrnpQjRgHdvq95rASoiR
2026-09-24 08:07:25 -04:00
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